Super Bowl Teams
The Following Year

Do not ever depend on a Super Bowl team to carry your bankroll the next year. Over the past 10 years the winners of the Super Bowl are a combined 58-79 ATS for a lousy 42% win ratio following their victory. While the losers of the big game are even worse the following year at 64-94 for a 41% win ratio. Combined, that is a record of 122-173 ATS for a low 41% win ratio.

A winning ATS record the following season for a team participating in the championship game has only happened 4 times out of 20 chances the past ten years (2 teams times 10 years = 20 chances). The Pittsburgh Steelers went 10-7 for a 58% win ratio after losing to the Dallas Cowboys back in SB XXX. Denver had a winning record ATS twice, 12-7 (63%) following their victory against Green Bay in SB XXXII and after their victory against Atlanta in SB XXXIII they went 9-5 (64%) the next year. Baltimore barely finished over 50% at 9-8 (53%) after beating the Giants in SB XXXV.

If you took away Denver’s’ awesome record of 21-12 (64%) the other 18 chances for the participants went 101-165 ATS (38%).

Why is this? Some of it might have been due to the harder schedule the following year but that scheduling format is no longer existent. So you are probably thinking the trends are getting better for the Super Bowl teams? Wrong, the past 4 teams that made it to the big game have gone 18-43 ATS (30%). It might be free agency or lack of hunger for the championship? Although St. Louis and Oakland, the two previous Super Bowl losers, had no ring after their performance in the championship game and they both went 3-12 ATS (20%) the year after. So much for a hunger to win it all being an incentive to play well.

So what the heck does this all mean? If trends continue Carolina will go around 3-12 ATS this year while New England will be around 6-10 ATS. New England was 6-10 following their victory over St. Louis and Tampa Bay was 6-9 ATS last season after blowing the Raiders out. So be careful and choose your spots when you take Carolina and New England this year or better yet, look to bet against them when the match-ups dictate so. If you are like most of the public and like to bet on the favorite, it might not be a bad idea to stay away from these teams completely. The public will be all over them and the price might be too steep to choose either team.

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